حركة إبداع: جيفري غولدبيرغ صديقنا ومهني لايكذب كما الفاسدين في الديوان الملكي
قال مدير عام حركة ابداع المقيم في فندق
في شارع الملك طلال أن الديوان الملكي العامر بالفاسدين يكذب دفاعا عن رواتب موظفيه
الذين تسللوا بالواسطة والمحسوبية (الفساد بعينه) إلى مواقعهم وامتيازاتهم فردا فردا
فقد سبق أن اعتاد موظفوه خاصة من هم غير مؤهلين للإعلام ولم يمارسوه على تكذيب صحف
مرموقة لولاها لا تكذب لما عمل الملك الراحل على الادلاء بتصريحات أو عمل لقاءات معها
فقد أصدر الديوان الملكي عدة بيانات سابقا يكذب بها مرة هاآريتس اليسارية الاسرائيلية
ومرة غيرها من الصحف في حين كان من واجبهم ترجمة ما كتبته الصحف الثلاث ومن ضمنها نيويورك
تايمز و قالت جينادي رئيس المكتب التنفيذي للحركة من سكرامنتو ليلة أمس أن جيفري غولدبيرغ
أحد أصدقاء حركة إبداع المبدعين كتابة وخلقا و موضوعية ولولا ذلك لما أركبه الملك عبدالله
الثاني خلف مقعد القيادة في مروحية زارت الكرك مؤخرا ولما أبقى على علاقته المميزة
به منذ توليه العرش وأن الملك اضطر لفضح الفاسدين في المخابرات وفي الكرك وفي غير ذات
مؤسسة من مؤسسات الدولة الأردنية.
It is still, on occasion, good to be the king.
It is not necessarily good to be the king of a Middle
Eastern country that is bereft of oil; nor is it necessarily so wonderful to be
the king during the turmoil and uncertainty of the Arab Spring. It is certainly
not good to be the king when the mystique that once enveloped your throne is
evaporating.
But when a squadron of Black Hawk helicopters is reserved
for your use, and when you are the type of king who finds release from the
pressures of monarchy by piloting those Black Hawks up and down the length of
your sand-covered kingdom—then it is still good to be the king.
One morning last fall, Abdullah II bin Al-Hussein, the
fourth Hashemite king of Jordan, rolled up to a helipad situated close to the
royal office complex in Al Hummar, on the western edge of the capital,
Amman. He stepped out of an armored Mercedes—he drove himself, and drove fast,
like he was being chased—and hustled to one of his Black Hawks. The king, who
as a young prince served as a commander in the Royal Jordanian special forces,
climbed into the pilot’s seat, talked for a moment with his co‑pilot, a trusted
member of the Royal Squadron, and lifted off, pointing us in the direction of
the rough, unhappy city of Karak, about 80 miles to the south. A second
Black Hawk, filled with bodyguards, lifted off a moment later.
The king was flying himself to Karak, which is one of the
poorer cities in a distressingly poor country, to have lunch with the leaders
of Jordan’s largest tribes, which form the spine of Jordan’s military and
political elite. More than half of all Jordanians are of Palestinian origin,
with roots on the West Bank of the Jordan River, but the tribal leaders are
from the East Bank, and the Hashemite kings have depended on East Bankers to
defend the throne since the Hashemites first came to what was then called
Transjordan from Mecca almost 100 years ago. This relationship has a coldly
transactional quality: in exchange for their support of the royal court, the
leaders of the eastern tribes expect the Hashemites to protect their
privileges, and to limit the power of the Palestinians. When the Hashemites
appear insufficiently attentive, problems inevitably follow.
Earlier that day, in his private office in Al Hummar,
which overlooks the wealthy neighborhoods of West Amman, the king had explained
to me the reason for the trip to Karak: he was trying, in advance of
parliamentary elections in January, to instruct these tribal leaders on the
importance of representative democracy. He wanted, he said, to see Jordanians
build political parties that would not simply function as patronage mills but
would advance ideas from across a broad ideological spectrum, and thus
establish for Jordan a mature political culture. He said he would like to
see Palestinians more proportionately represented in parliament. And he would
like to do all this, he explained, without allowing the Muslim Brotherhood—a
“Masonic cult” (as he describes it) that today controls the most formidable
political organization in Jordan, the Islamic Action Front—to hijack the cause
of democratic reform in the name of Islam. In other words, the king wants to
bring political reform to Jordan, and to cede some of his power to the
people—but only to the right people.
It was obvious to me that King Abdullah was looking forward
to flying his helicopter—but not so much to the meeting that awaited him in
Karak. “I’m sitting with the old dinosaurs today,” he told me.
The men he would be meeting—a former prime minister among
them—were leaders of the National Current Party, which had the support
of many East Bankers of the south, and which would almost certainly control a
substantial bloc of seats in the next parliament. What the party stood for,
however, beyond patronage and the status quo, was not entirely clear, even to
the king. Shortly after the eruption of the Arab Spring, the king told me, he
met with Abdul Hadi al-Majali, the leader of the party. “I read your economic
and social manifesto, and it scared the crap out of me,” the king said he told
Majali. “This makes no sense whatsoever. If you’re going to reach out to the
70 percent of the population that is younger than me, you’ve got to work
on this.” The party manifesto, the king told me, “didn’t have anything. It was
slogans. There was no program. Nothing.” He went on, “It’s all about ‘I’ll vote
for this guy because I’m in his tribe.’ I want this guy to develop a program
that at least people will begin to understand.”
The king landed his helicopter on a soccer field on the
outskirts of Karak. The tribal leaders, many of whom had served Abdullah’s
father, the late King Hussein, were lined up to greet the king as his motorcade
traveled the short distance from the improvised landing pad to a large meeting
hall. There were kisses and handshakes and protestations of loyalty to the
throne, followed by a lunch of mansaf, lamb cooked in fermented yogurt.
Although mansaf is usually eaten with the right hand, the left hand
placed behind the back, forks were distributed in a concession to modernity.
Still, the meal was eaten standing up around a long, narrow table, in the
Bedouin tradition.
Then the business of the afternoon was conducted. The 30 or
so men (and one woman, a daughter of one of the tribal leaders) sat on couches
against the walls. Tea was served. The king made a short plea for economic
reform and for expanding political participation, and then the floor was
opened. Leader after leader—many of whom were extremely old, many of whom
merely had the appearance of being old—made small-bore requests and complaints.
One of the men proposed an idea for the king’s consideration: “In the old days,
we had night watchmen in the towns. They would be given sticks. The government
should bring this back. It would be for security, and it would create more jobs
for the young men.”
I was seated directly across the room from the king, and I
caught his attention for a moment; he gave me a brief, wide-eyed look. He was
interested in high-tech innovation, and in girls’ education, and in trimming
the overstuffed government payroll. A jobs plan focused on men with sticks was
not his idea of effective economic reform.
As we were leaving Karak a little while later, I asked him
about the men-with-sticks idea. “There’s a lot of work to do,” he said, with
fatigue in his voice.
We boarded the Black Hawk and took off. I was seated behind
the king. He asked me whether I wanted to make a detour: “Have you ever seen
Mount Nebo from the air?” He flew northwest, toward the mountain from which,
the Bible tells us, God showed Moses the Land of Israel. The Dead Sea shimmered
just beyond. I suggested a quick detour to Jerusalem, which was 30 miles away.
“The cousins like to have more warning,” one of his aides said with a smirk.
“The cousins” are the Israelis.
The king seemed to be in no rush to return to Amman. As we
approached Mount Nebo, we passed over the ruins of the ancient fortress of Machaerus,
which was built by the Hasmoneans, and then rebuilt and enlarged by King Herod
the Great in 30 B.C. Machaerus is where Herod’s son, Herod Antipas, is
said to have delivered to Salome the head of John the Baptist.
“That Herod,” Abdullah said. “Quite a character.” I wasn’t
clear on which Herod he meant, father or son, but no matter. Each one had his
idiosyncrasies. “Not a role model for you?,” I asked.
“No,” he said. “I have different role models.”
The King's Palace in Al Hummar is not Herodian in
scale, but it is still sizable, expensively decorated, and well shielded from
the noise of the city below. The complex is attached to the King Hussein bin
Talal Mosque, which can hold 5,500 worshippers. (Abdullah commissioned the
mosque to honor his father.) Hummar is guarded by machine guns mounted on
jeeps, and by members of the Jordanian Armed Forces Security and Protection
Unit of the Supreme Commander. Inside the palace, Circassian guards, who wear
black astrakhans and carry silver swords, stand watch outside his office.
Men in Bedouin dress carrying smoking incense burners move
quietly from room to room. The many waiting rooms are decorated elegantly,
adorned with photographs of the ruins of the ancient Nabataean city of Petra,
and with portraits of the past kings of Jordan.
The palace complex is under the unforgiving control of the
chief of royal protocol, whose staff works assiduously to maintain an
atmosphere of silence and reverence. But the atmosphere inside the king’s
private office, where I spent many hours talking with him in recent months, is
one of unstudied informality. Abdullah has, in some ways, grown accustomed to
the trappings of the throne—when I first met him, not long after he took office
more than 14 years ago, he told me that being addressed as “Your Majesty” made
him queasy; he seems to have, over the years, adjusted to this aspect of
kingship—but he still dislikes ceremony and prefers blunt talk to politesse.
He seems in many ways to be a contradiction—an Arab king who
happens to be a direct descendant of the Prophet Muhammad, evangelizing for
liberal, secular, democratic rule. But Abdullah, now nearly a decade and a half
into his reign, is, in his own conception, a political and economic reformer.
He says he understands that the Hashemite throne, and perhaps Jordan itself,
will not survive the coming decades if he does not move his country briskly
toward modernity.
It is a small miracle, of course, that he is still in power
at all. He has survived the first wave of the Arab Spring revolutions, which
have so far claimed the leaders of Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, and Yemen, and will
almost inevitably claim the Syrian president as well. But he has been roughed
up in the process.
Geography has cursed Jordan. To Abdullah’s north is the
charnel house of Syria, a failed state in the making. To his east is Iraq’s
bloody Anbar province. Saudi Arabia, ruled by the superannuated princes of the
House of Saud, the ancient rivals of the Hashemites, sits to his southeast. To
his west are the obstreperous Israelis, as well as the disputatious
Palestinians. Al‑Qaeda wants to kill him. The Iranian regime doesn’t like him
very much either, especially since he denounced, in 2004, what he saw as a
rising, Iranian-led “Shia crescent” looming over the Middle East. His country
is broke, dependent on the United States, the International Monetary Fund, and
haughty gulf Arabs to cover its budget. (The IMF recently forced fuel-price
hikes that have intensified the domestic resentment directed at the throne.)
Demonstrations in Jordan’s main cities have been modest
compared with those that led to regime change in Cairo and Tunis, but they have nevertheless been vociferous. Protesters
have denounced the king as “Ali Baba,” and his family as the 40 thieves. They
have made a special target of his wife, the stunning—and stunningly
modern—Queen Rania, who is considered an icon of fashion and women’s
empowerment in the West but is vilified at home. They have, on occasion, touted
one of the king’s younger half brothers, Prince Hamzah, as an alternative to
Abdullah. At the outset of his rule, Abdullah and Rania were broadly venerated.
Not anymore.
Abdullah is a semi-absolute monarch—the country has a prime
minister, and an elected lower house of parliament, but he can dismiss the
prime minister and dissolve the parliament if he sees fit. Hiring and firing
prime ministers has eaten up a lot of his time recently—he’s gone through six
in the past five years—and he says he would like to remove himself from the
process. “My blood pressure goes highest—my wife knows this—when we have to
change governments,” he told me. “Whenever we go through that cycle, nobody is
going to be happy.”
Abdullah kept repeating that he wanted to devolve power to
an elected parliament, so I finally asked him whether he wanted a purely
ceremonial role: “You don’t want to be Queen Elizabeth, do you?”
“Well, where are monarchies in 50 years?” he said. He clearly
understands that monarchy is not a growth industry. But does his extended
family understand this? The Hashemites are a small family, at least compared
with the Saudi family. Still, he has 11 siblings and half siblings, as well as
many aunts and uncles and cousins, each one a royal.
“No, members of my family don’t get it,” he said. “They’re
not involved day-to-day. The further away you’re removed from this chair, the
more of a prince or a princess you are. That happens in all royal families, I
think. The further you are from this chair, the more you believe in absolute
monarchy. That’s the best way of describing it. And that just doesn’t work.”
When I met King Abdullah, in 1999, shortly after the death
of his father, he was new to the throne and filled with reformist zeal.
Privatization, modernization, and political liberalization were all high on the
agenda. He told me then, with a confidence born of inexperience, “Our country
has a lot of challenges, but I think they are all manageable.”
He was already straining against protocol, and he told me
that he loathed sycophancy and hated isolation. Early in his reign, he would
occasionally dress as a peasant and mix with common people, to learn their
desires and frustrations. I accompanied him on one such foray, to Zarqa, a city
of disaffected Palestinians and perpetually enraged Islamists situated
northeast of Amman.
We visited the local office of the finance ministry, as well
as the city’s public hospital, neither of which appeared to be providing
anything approaching quality service. The king watched as bloodless
bureaucrats ignored reasonable requests by his browbeaten subjects.
Eventually, his presence was discovered (the lurking American reporter in
khakis made it hard for the king to hide his identity), and a crowd quickly
gathered, filled with old women shouting blessings at him. We made a frantic
dash to a nearby paratrooper base. I asked him to describe what he thought
officials in Zarqa should be feeling at that moment. “Panic,” he said, with a
half-smile. He would, he said, be writing a report.
Though he was distressed by what he saw, he seemed buoyed by
the visit. In those early days, he imagined that the people of Jordan were
ready to be his partners in lifting the country out of its archaic ways.
Abdullah’s father, King Hussein, was a shrewd ruler, a skilled survivor, and a
heroic peacemaker—but he was not a modern manager, and he bequeathed to his
son a sclerotic economy and a political system built on wasta, or favoritism,
and the exploitation of tribal rivalries. Abdullah believed he would fix all
that.
But the future was lying in ambush. The Palestinian
uprising; September 11; the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq—all of this
was ahead. Within a few years, Zarqa would become best known as the birthplace
of Abu Musab al‑Zarqawi, the master terrorist.
The intervening years have taken their toll. The king has
gone decisively gray, and his forehead is lined. I noticed, on a couple of
recent occasions, a heaviness about him, and I told him so.
“You know,” the king said, “when I reached my 10-year
anniversary, I remember sitting down with members of my family and my close
friends and saying, ‘I don’t want to do this anymore.’ ”
“You can’t just quit,” I said.
“That’s what they said,” he responded.
King Abdullah is not only a direct descendant of the Prophet
Muhammad; he is the son, grandson, and great-grandson of Hashemite kings, and
he is the great-great-grandson of the last sharif of Mecca. Abdication is not a
realistic option. And yet, here he was, admitting that the thought had crossed
his mind. “I just said that I was so depressed because of all the forces I was
dealing with on the inside,” the king said. “It wasn’t the outside—the outside,
I understood. It was inside.”
He had complained before about “inside” political forces,
but only elliptically, and I had assumed he was referring to the Islamic Action
Front, the Muslim Brotherhood’s Jordanian branch. But now he identified a
different foe.
“Institutions I had trusted were just not on board,” he
said. “It was the mukhabarat”—the secret police—“and the others, and the
old guard.” The mukhabarat, which is known in English as the General
Intelligence Department, or GID, is devoted, in principle, to the protection of
the Hashemite crown. Its foreboding headquarters could be mistaken for a shrine
to the Hashemites. Oversize portraits of Abdullah and his family, and of the
previous kings of Jordan, adorn many of its meeting rooms. The GID is the most
respected Arab intelligence service; its agents are known for their ability to
penetrate al‑Qaeda and other Islamist groups. (It has also been known to use
torture: its headquarters was for a while known in Western diplomatic and
intelligence circles as “the fingernail factory.”)
American officials, and political dissidents inside the
kingdom, believe that GID officials have inserted themselves into Jordanian
politics, for personal financial gain and to advance the agendas of East Bank
Jordanians who wish to marginalize both Islamists and Palestinians. The king believes that each time he has tried to make a
noteworthy reform—redrawing parliamentary districts to allow Palestinians a
greater presence in the lower house of parliament, for instance—the GID, along
with reactionaries in the political elite, have subverted his attempts. “I
didn’t realize the extent to which the conservative elements had [penetrated]
institutions like the GID,” he said. “It became apparent in later years how
they were embedded in certain institutions. Two steps forward, one step back.”
GID troublemaking “was something that I inherited from my
father,” the king told me. In the 1980s, riots broke out in the southern city
of Ma’an, and he said his father suspected that either the Saudis or GID agents
were fomenting them. “The GID was always problematic.” The king said one reason
his difficulties with the GID have festered so long is his own gullibility. “I
was naive enough to think—coming from the army, since in the army they said
‘Yes, sir’—the GID would say ‘Yes, sir.’ ”
Today, he says, he is making progress in reforming the
agency. Two recent GID chiefs have gone to jail for corruption. A third died in
disgrace. The current head is trying to depoliticize the agency, officials in
Jordan say, aided by management advice from the CIA.
Jordan has always been beleaguered by corruption. In the old
days, King Hussein was somewhat obvious about it, giving duty-free Mercedeses
to loyalists and cronies. Critics say the situation hasn’t much improved since
then. King Abdullah, in his early years, tried to bring more transparency to
government budgeting, but his reputation for clean living has been damaged by
allegations that family members have profited from the sale of government
lands, and by charges that various family members and friends have otherwise
benefited from their connections to the palace. Walid al‑Kurdi, the husband of
Princess Basma, the late King Hussein’s sister, recently fled to London rather
than face charges that he embezzled millions from the country’s phosphate
industry. The king himself has been subjected to rumors that he is an
overenthusiastic gambler.
Abdullah is defensive about charges that his family reaches
for special privileges. In our conversations, he lashed out against relatives
whose behavior he sees as a liability to Hashemite rule. “Look at some of my
brothers. They believe that they’re princes, but my cousins are more princes
than my brothers, and their in‑laws are like—oh my God,” he said. “I’m always
having to stop members of my family from putting lights on their guard cars. I
arrest members of my family and take their cars away from them and cut off
their fuel rations and make them stop at traffic lights. I’m trying to be that
example.”
Family sensitivities, he went on, “become irrelevant. If you
catch my son being corrupt, take him to court. I’ve said that quite clearly
from day one. What I’m trying to say is that everybody else is expendable in
the royal family. Does that make sense? That’s the reality of the Arab Spring
that hit me.” Abdullah does not want corrupt family members or courtiers—or
anyone else—to be able to sink him, the way the petty (and grand) corruptions
of the Mubaraks, and other ruling families, sunk those leaders.
When I passed along the king’s harsh commentary to a family
member, that family member—who did not want to be named—gave an Alice in
Wonderland–esque response: “His Majesty is His Majesty, and if His Majesty
believes this to be an issue, then His Majesty is correct.”
His Majesty’s wife, the elegant and forthright Rania, has
largely been hidden from the international press since the onset of the Arab
Spring. Ever since the royal court staged an elaborate birthday party for her
in 2010 in Wadi Rum, in the desert of southern Jordan, the woman Oprah Winfrey
once described as an “international fashion icon” has been viewed with contempt
by many Jordanians. (When she is photographed at all these days, it tends to be
in schools and hospitals.)
Vicious gossip, the king says, is part of the capital’s
terrain. Take the rumors about his gambling habit. “Look, the issue of gambling
came out from West Amman,” he said, referring to the neighborhood that is home
to the country’s political and financial elite. “I don’t even play cards, and
the reason why I don’t gamble is probably that I just can’t count. When I see a
seven, it looks like an eight. I had an American guy come and say, ‘There’s a
concern about gambling.’ But with your government and your CIA and everybody,
where could a king [with an international] profile go and gamble?”
He went on, “West Amman came out with stories that my son
was deaf, my daughter was blind, all of this. They did this with my dad, too.
There was a story that my father and I were going out with a stewardess and we
killed her and buried her.”
In a conversation I had with the queen—a conversation
carefully regulated by royal-court functionaries—she explained the current mood
in Jordan this way: “In good times, people are more generous with giving you
the benefit of the doubt. In difficult times, you know that people are going to
cast doubt even when you are saying the truth. People are not generous. They
don’t give you the benefit of the doubt.”
“That Herod,” Abdullah said as we flew over the ruins of the
ancient king’s fortress. “Quite a character.” “Not a role model for you?,” I
asked. “No,” he said. “I have different role models.”
The king says that his inexperience—with governance, with
the way he managed perceptions—explains why he hasn’t been more successful in
pushing through modernizing political reforms. In the eyes of his critics among
Jordanian liberals—including many of the men who worked for him in the first,
hopeful years of his reign—he allowed himself to be outmaneuvered. Some of the
changes he is trying to make today—building political parties, rewriting the
country’s election laws to make parliament more representative—were on the
agenda several years ago. In 2005, as pressure mounted on the king to open
up society in accordance with his public promises, he appointed Marwan Muasher,
one of his reformist aides, to formulate a comprehensive reform program.
The National Agenda, as it came to be known, was an
ambitious plan for systemic change in many sectors of national life. One of the
agenda items was to increase the number of seats in parliament reserved for
candidates affiliated with national parties. Previously, the vast majority of
parliamentarians had been elected by district, a system that encouraged voting
based on patronage and tribal loyalty. The National Agenda was going to change
all that. But before it could, the conservatives rose up and went to the
king. According to several people familiar with the fateful meeting, a leading
senator said to Abdullah: “This is a leap into the unknown.” The National
Agenda was not implemented.
But in the wake of the Arab Spring, which has toppled
autocracies around the region, Abdullah has finally managed to engineer a new
election system that resembles, in a modest way, the vision of the National
Agenda. Twenty-seven of the 150 seats in the lower house of parliament, which
was itself expanded, were filled through national voting. Queen Rania told me
that her husband was finally able to achieve the electoral reforms because the
pressure of the Arab Spring had concentrated the attention of Jordan’s elites.
“In a sense, I think the political upheaval of the last two years, it was a
different kind of challenge—it brought about an atmosphere of open criticism,”
she said. “What’s nice about that is it allowed him”—King Abdullah—“to
reciprocate the frankness, to really go out and say what he believes in …
I think that’s why, on several occasions, he will say that he saw the Arab
Spring as an opportunity. The Arab Spring gave him the opportunity really to go
out very candidly and express it in a very open way, and it gave us all the
opportunity to really see him for who he is.”
But the Arab Spring may also mean that the king is running
out of time. “The luxury of infinite time is no more,” Marwan Muasher told me,
“because things have gone to the streets. The level of frustration is elevated
to the point where the original slow pace is not adequate. I believe in gradual
reform, but I think it must also be sustained with a clear time line. It’s
not that the king doesn’t want it, but I believe he must lead a process that
would accelerate the current pace. Otherwise it’s going to be 30 years before
we reach a parliament that is able to exercise true authority.”
The pace of reform has King Abdullah’s friends, particularly
in America, worried that he is going too slow to keep ahead of the
revolutionary wave unleashed by the Arab Spring. Former Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton has expressed the view, in sometimes withering fashion, that
King Abdullah was moving at too leisurely a tempo, and that Jordanians were
more capable of building idea-driven political parties than he gave them credit
for. (The king argues, not unconvincingly, that holding elections without the
necessary preparatory work is counterproductive.) The new secretary of state,
John Kerry, is more supportive. Just after taking the reins at the State
Department, Kerry said he remembered the king visiting him in 1999 in Boston,
where he connected Abdullah with local businesses and universities. “He was
forward-looking and economically focused at a time when so many Middle East
leaders were moving in a different direction.” Kerry also said that Abdullah
“represents the people of the region with dignity and intelligence.”Th
The stability of Jordan, and the king’s continued good
health, are, of course, of great importance to the United States. Abdullah is a
prime partner (and subcontractor) in the fight against Islamist terror, and he
is the ruler of one of the rare more or less stable, pro-Western countries in
an unhinged region. Senator John McCain, one of the king’s closest allies in
Congress, told me, “This king and his father have done enormous things for us.
Other countries have helped us—but none the way Jordan has.” (When I asked
McCain whether he thought Abdullah was in danger of being overthrown like other
rulers in the region have been, he said no, but then added: “On the other hand,
I didn’t think a lot of those guys were in trouble.”)
To the Israelis, and to the gulf Arabs, he is indispensable
as well. The gulf Arabs see him as a bellwether; no monarch has yet fallen in
the Arab Spring. If King Abdullah can manage a way through, there is hope
for the regimes of the Persian Gulf. “We need to be saying to the Obama administration
and the West that if you don’t support Abdullah, you are undermining moderates
across the region and you will create a region of extremists,” one gulf-state
official told me.
Israel, in some ways, is Jordan’s most important ally. As
the guarantor of quiet on Israel’s eastern front, and as the defender of the
peace treaty that King Hussein forged with Yitzhak Rabin in 1994, Abdullah’s
Jordan is essential to the Israelis. Jordan and Israel are also working
together to prevent the chaos of Syria from spilling into their countries. The
king would not talk about joint Jordanian-Israeli operations, but several
sources in Amman and Tel Aviv told me that Israeli drones are monitoring the
Jordan-Syria border on Jordan’s behalf, and that military and intelligence
officials from the two countries are in constant contact, planning for
post–Bashar al‑Assad chaos.
When Abdullah reached his 10th year on the throne, he told
his family and friends he was tired of being king. “You can’t just quit,” I
said. “That’s what they said,” he responded.
Even as Abdullah envisions ceding more of his power, he
draws one red line: “I don’t want a government to come in and say, ‘We
repudiate the peace treaty with Israel.’ ”
He is cautious when speaking about the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin
Netanyahu, with whom he is reportedly in regular communication. He would say
only that his relationship with Netanyahu is “very strong. Our discussions have
really improved.”
Though he acknowledges the role Netanyahu plays in
maintaining Jordanian stability, he is not optimistic about Israel’s future.
King Abdullah is known as an advocate of two states for two peoples—Israel
secure in its pre-1967 borders, Palestine to be established in Gaza and the
West Bank—but when I asked him in January how much time he thought was left to
implement this idea, his answer surprised me. “It could be too late already for
the two-state solution,” he said. “I don’t know. Part of me is worried that is
already past us.”
If it were too late, what would that mean?
He responded with a single word: “Isratine.” That’s a
neologism popularized by the late Muammar Qaddafi to describe his vision of a
joint Arab-Jewish state. If Israel doesn’t agree to a Palestinian state
quickly, Abdullah said, “apartheid or democracy” will be its choice. “The
practical question is, can Israel exert permanent control over Palestinians who
are disenfranchised ad infinitum, or does it eventually become a South
Africa, which couldn’t survive as a pariah state?”
There are some Israelis, I said, who value Israel more as a
Jewish state than as a democratic state. “The only way you’re going to have a
Jewish part is if you have a two-state solution. That’s the Jewish part,” he
said.
I asked him whether he believed President Obama wants to
work on Middle East peace. “That’s the million-dollar question,” he said. He
added that John Kerry clearly does. “We have a second-term president,” Abdullah
said, suggesting that only a president in his second term has the
maneuverability, and the experience, to oversee an effective peace process.
“This is the last moment. Can it be achieved in four years? Are we too late?
After four years, it’s over.”
While uncertainty persists across Jordan’s western border,
chaos and bloodletting reign across its northern one, in Syria. As we were
discussing the situation there, I asked Abdullah this question: If 250,000
Jordanians were to surge into the streets, demanding his downfall, would he
order his security services to shoot? Or would he abdicate?
“My character is, I won’t shoot,” the king said. “I don’t
think we as Hashemites shoot. If you, as a monarch, have created a situation in
which half the population rises up and wants you out, then you’ve done
something wrong.” Of course, I hadn’t asked what would happen if half the country
rose up (Jordan’s population is 6.5 million), but I took his point.
It is not unfathomable that one day a demonstration of
250,000 could occur in Jordan. Demonstrations have erupted with some regularity
there since the opening months of the Arab Spring. Many of the demonstrators
are drawn from the Palestinian-dominated Muslim Brotherhood, but many are
affiliated with the so-called herak, or “movement,” an amorphous
collection of protest groups composed mainly of disaffected East Bankers.
The king insists that he has handled these demonstrations
with gentle diplomacy. Queen Rania, he says, suggested he take a lenient
approach with the protesters. “I said to take the weapons away. I was
coordinating with all the commanders about how the first demonstrations should
be handled, and Rania said, ‘You know what you should do? Hand out water and
juice to all the demonstrators—have the police hand them water.’ That was a
good idea, and I called them and said, ‘Rania’s idea is to do this.’ And the
police did it. That was the flavor of the demonstrations.”
Of course, the confrontations between demonstrators and
regime defenders were not always as benign as they may have seemed from the
palace: security forces—along with mysterious bands of self-described royalists—have
confronted demonstrators with beatings and tear gas from time to time. Still,
Amman is most definitely not Damascus.
The king noted that Bashar al-Assad, the Syrian president,
had, along with his loyalists, quite obviously made the decision to open fire
against demonstrators and rebels. More than 70,000 Syrians have been killed in
the uprising against Assad’s rule; forces under his command have committed
unspeakable crimes against their countrymen. The danger for the entire region
is acute. Jordan is working quietly with Israel and the United States to
monitor the whereabouts of Assad’s chemical weapons. And Jordan is already
being overrun by Syrian refugees—almost 400,000 as of late February. “The
minute you get a Syrian coming across, there’s no way you can turn them back
and say our border is closed,” the king told me. So far he has kept his word,
maintaining a northern border open to fleeing Syrians.
He has also invited Assad’s family to Jordan, promising them
protection. “I had offered a couple of times to get his wife out,” he told me,
“and they said, ‘Thank you very much, but why don’t you worry about your
country more than you worry about us?’ ”
Not all that long ago, Assad was seen, along with King
Abdullah and King Mohammed VI of Morocco, as part of a trio of young,
charismatic, and putatively progressive Arab leaders. In October 2000,
shortly after the eruption of the second Palestinian uprising in the West Bank
and Gaza, I attended a meeting of Arab leaders who had gathered in Cairo to ritually
excoriate Israel, and to stand publicly (if impotently) with their Palestinian
brethren. The meeting was stultifying. (Qaddafi had boycotted the session, so a
great source of perverse entertainment was missing.) But the presence of three
newly ascended Arab rulers lent interest to the proceedings: Abdullah had
inherited the Hashemite throne the year before, after the death of his father,
King Hussein; Mohammed had recently been crowned king of Morocco, after the
death of his father, King Hassan; and Assad had a few months earlier inherited
the presidency of Syria from his father, Hafez al‑Assad, in much the same way
the Arab royals had inherited their thrones.
When I asked King Abdullah whether he could unravel the
enigma of Bashar al‑Assad for me, he replied with an anecdote about the
conference in Cairo. At the time, Assad was already controversial; the Syrian
parliament had, upon Hafez al‑Assad’s death, voted to lower the minimum age for
presidential candidates from 40 to 34—Bashar’s age at the time. Even by the
standards of Levantine power grabs, this was considered to be a gauche act. In
Syria, murmurs of discontent about the Assad family’s despotic inclinations had
become audible. Abdullah says he took it upon himself to try to coach the new
Syrian president in the ways of international statecraft. Even before the Arab
League Summit, Abdullah says, he had devised a program to help Assad elevate
his reputation. “I went to visit him and I said, ‘There’s the opening of the
United Nations in September, please come—I can set up lunches and dinners,” the
king recounted. “The World Economic Forum was doing something, and I said,
‘You’ll be the belle of the ball: everyone wants to meet you, you’re the new
guy, you can have some interviews.’
“And he was like, ‘There’s no need—I have Syrian businessmen
who can go on my behalf and get the contracts and investments.’ And I was like,
‘No, when you show up at the UN, everybody will come because you’re the flavor
of the month.’ But he said he wouldn’t go.”
So, I asked, Bashar was a bit of a provincial? The king
smiled, and told me about a conversation he had at the Arab Summit. “There was
a dinner with me and him and the king of Morocco, at the king’s residence in
Cairo. And so Bashar at dinner turns to us and says, ‘Can you guys explain to
me what jet lag is?’ ”
The king arched an eyebrow at me. “He never heard of jet
lag.”
Of course, provincialism alone can’t explain Assad’s
behavior. After all, he’s not really that provincial: he’s a physician who
trained in London. “He’s a smart guy, he’s married to someone who lived in the
West,” the king conceded. But then he contrasted Assad’s upbringing with his
own. “The fathers are two very different people,” he said. “The way his father
ruled Syria, and the way my father ruled this country, and the relationship
between the people and the ruler, were just very different.”
King Hussein, Abdullah’s father, did not always rule with a
weightless touch—he used crushing force to put down the 1970 Palestinian revolt
that came to be known as Black September—but he was generally known, especially
by the standards of Middle Eastern royalty, for large-heartedness, and for a
readiness to forgive.
No one would ever accuse an Assad of benevolence. Comparing
the ways the Assads and the Hashemites have wrestled with two surpassingly
important challenges to Arab leaders—the Muslim Brotherhood, on the one hand,
and the existence of Israel, on the other—hints at the chasm of difference
between the two families.
The Hashemites have sometimes used the General Intelligence
Department to create dissension in the ranks of the Brotherhood; they have
bought off some of the group’s leaders; and they have made the case to
Jordanians, with intermittent success, that the Muslim Brothers are more
interested in imposing the rule of fundamentalist sharia law than in making the
country more democratic. The Assads, in contrast, have traditionally taken a
more direct approach, killing Muslim Brothers in large numbers when they felt
it necessary. In the most notorious instance, in 1982, Hafez al‑Assad’s forces
killed between 10,000 and 20,000 people in a successful attempt to put down a
Muslim Brotherhood uprising in the city of Hama.
Which is not to say that the Hashemites don’t harbor
visceral dislike for the Brotherhood. Abdullah expounds on that dislike to many
of the Western visitors he receives—in part because he believes his Western
allies are naive about the Brotherhood’s intentions. “When you go to the State
Department and talk about this, they’re like, ‘This is just the liberals
talking, this is the monarch saying that the Muslim Brotherhood is deep-rooted
and sinister.’ ” Some of his Western interlocutors, he told me, argue that
“the only way you can have democracy is through the Muslim Brotherhood.” His
job, he says, is to point out that the Brotherhood is run by “wolves in sheep’s
clothing” and wants to impose its retrograde vision of society and its
anti-Western politics on the Muslim Middle East. This, he said, is “our major
fight”—to prevent the Muslim Brothers from conniving their way into power
across the region.
I’ve met Muslim Brotherhood members in Jordan who speak of
Abdullah as something of an infidel—in part because his wife keeps her hair
uncovered, wears pants, and speaks in public—but the king bridles at the idea
that he is not a believer. I once asked him what it felt like to be a direct
descendant of the Prophet Muhammad. “It gives you a sense of calm,” he said.
“Obviously there’s a tremendous sense of responsibility. It makes you feel very
sure of yourself. I’m very comfortable in myself. I inherited this from my
father, and he inherited it from his father. I pray five times a day—but I
don’t have to keep telling everybody that I pray five times a day.” He then
made a derisive reference to the zabiba, or “raisin,” the dark spot on
the foreheads of some devout Muslim men, created over time by pressing the head
firmly into the ground during prayer. “You see that black mark on the
forehead—to show off that you pray five times a day?” he asked. “Why do that?
That’s complete nonsense. I feel like having a black magic marker just to annoy
people, to put a mark on my head.”
He became serious again. “My view of Christians and Jews,
because of my father’s teachings and the family teachings—I was always brought
up to believe that they are part of the larger family. Does that make sense? I
don’t have that extremism.”
Though most of the gulf monarchs remain his allies—because
they, too, fear the Muslim Brotherhood—the king’s expansive, moderate
understanding of Islam has served to isolate him from the Arab world’s rising
rulers. Tunisia is now ruled by Islamists. In Egypt, Hosni Mubarak, a longtime
Jordanian ally, has been replaced by Mohamed Morsi, a Brotherhood leader. The
king argues that a new, radical alliance is emerging—one that both complements
and rivals the Iranian-led Shia crescent. “I see a Muslim Brotherhood crescent
developing in Egypt and Turkey,” he told me. “The Arab Spring highlighted a new
crescent in the process of development.”
Abdullah is wary of Tayyip Erdogan, the Turkish prime
minister, whose Justice and Development Party is, he believes, merely promoting
a softer-edged version of Islamism. (“Erdogan once said that democracy for him
is a bus ride,” Abdullah reports. “ ‘Once
I get to my stop, I’m getting off.’ ”)
He sees Erdogan as a more restrained and more savvy version of Mohamed
Morsi, who set back Muslim Brotherhood’s cause in Egypt by making a premature
play for absolute power. “Instead of the Turkish model, taking six or seven
years—being an Erdogan—Morsi wanted to do it overnight,” the king said.
If the king is wary of Erdogan, he is decidedly unimpressed
with Morsi, whom he recently met in Riyadh, the Saudi capital. The two men were
discussing the role of Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood’s Palestinian branch.
“There is no depth there,” Abdullah told me. “I was trying to explain to him
how to deal with Hamas, how to get the peace process moving, and he was like,
‘The Israelis will not move.’ I said, ‘Listen, whether the Israelis move or don’t
move, it’s how we get Fatah and Hamas”—the two rival Palestinian
factions—“together.” When Morsi remained fixated on the Israelis (“He’s like,
‘The Israelis, the Israelis’ ”), Abdullah said, he tried to
reiterate the importance of sorting out “the mess” on the Palestinian side.
“There’s no depth to the guy,” he repeated.
Constrained by morality, disposition, and political reality,
the king cannot simply jail or murder the leaders of the Muslim Brotherhood,
but he has done a creditable job of marginalizing them. Both the Hashemites and
the Muslim Brotherhood’s Islamic Action Front understood early on that the Arab
Spring would pose a sharp challenge to the continuity of Hashemite rule. In the
spring of 2011, as the Arab revolutions were beginning to unfold, I met with
leaders of the Islamic Action Front at their headquarters in Amman. They were
militant—though necessarily somewhat oblique—in their remarks about the future
of the monarchy.
“If you catch my son being corrupt, take him to court.”
Abdullah does not want corrupt family members to be able to sink him, the way
the corruption of the mubaraks sunk them.
Zaki Bani Rashid, the chief of the IAF’s politburo, told me
that the Tunisian and Egyptian revolutions resembled the French revolution in
its viral qualities. “The French revolution caused the end of regimes all
through Europe,” he said. “The Arab-world revolutions will have the same effect
through our region.” I asked him whether this meant he was calling for the
overthrow of the Hashemites. He said, “The regime must understand that we need
more democracy and more representative rule. We want a better country.” He said
this while seated underneath a portrait of King Abdullah. Hamza Mansour, the
IAF’s secretary general, said that if reform did not come quickly, the
possibility of “social violence” would grow.
The king, for his part, is certain that the Muslim
Brotherhood wants to see him gone. The GID has told him that the Brotherhood
high command in Cairo is actively fomenting unrest in Jordan. According to
multiple sources, the GID claims to have intercepted communications from
Brotherhood leaders in Egypt to their Jordanian affiliates, encouraging them to
boycott elections and destabilize the country. Abdullah told me that “behind
closed doors, the Muslim Brotherhood here wants to overthrow” the government. I
noted that the Brotherhood has his portrait on the walls of their offices.
“They don’t believe in the constitution of Jordan,” he replied. “They won’t
swear on the constitution. They will only swear on the constitution of the
Muslim Brotherhood. Their allegiance is to the murshid,” the supreme
guide, or leader, of the Brotherhood, who is based in Cairo. Abdullah said that
when Brothers win election to parliament, and swear to follow the text of the
Jordanian constitution, they get a fatwa—a religious ruling—stating that “you
can put your hand on the Koran but what you swear on the Koran is nonbinding”
when you’re declaring fealty to a secular document.
He noted that while he won’t let anyone kiss his hand (“we
don’t believe anyone should kiss my hand, we’re all human beings”), “when you
see Hamza Mansour, you see that after a speech, they all come kiss his hand.”
Two months after the Arab Spring erupted, the king received
the leaders of the Muslim Brotherhood’s Jordanian branch in his office. “They
were the first people I saw in the Arab Spring,” he told me. “They were the
loudest voice, so I brought them in, and they said, ‘Our loyalty is to the
Hashemites, and we stood with you in the ’40s and ’50s and ’70s,’ and I said,
‘That is the biggest load of crap I have ever heard.’ And they were like,
‘Aaaargh’—they were shocked.” He recounted that he said to them, “ ‘My father told me that you guys watched the way things were
going, and when you saw that my father was winning, you went with him.’ I said,
‘This is complete and utter bullshit, and if we’re going to sit here and
bullshit each other, then we might as well have a cup of tea and then say
goodbye. If you want to have a serious conversation’—we Arabs like to
ass-kiss each other for the first half hour of conversation—‘if you want to
have a serious conversation, here’s where we start.’ ”
The king said he outlined for the Brotherhood leaders some
areas of common interest, and then told them, “I think you’re part of the
Jordanian system, and I think you should be part of the process.” He said he
told them, “I think we all leave this meeting feeling really good, but—I’ll be
honest with you—there’s 10 percent distrust from me, and 10 percent distrust
from you, I’m sure. But we have good vibes here.”
Those Brotherhood leaders went to Cairo to ask the supreme
guide and other Brotherhood leaders whether they should participate in the
king’s newly established national-dialogue committee, meant to frame a broad
civic discussion about political reform. Abdullah said he had told Hamza
Mansour and two other Brotherhood leaders that he wanted an answer within a few
days. “They were in Cairo to see the murshid, and they saw Tahrir Square
and the Muslim Brotherhood. We asked Mansour, ‘Who are the three names
you’re going to put on the national-dialogue committee?’ ” No names were ventured. “I think they thought the
revolution was going to happen in Jordan, and they didn’t need to be part of
the national committee,” the king said. “They thought they’d won. They had
decided that they had won.”
The Islamic Action Front has boycotted the political-reform
process for the past two years, but the boycott has not worked. In January’s
parliamentary elections, voter turnout was comparatively high, and Islamists
not affiliated with the Brotherhood won several seats. Political analysts in
Amman generally agree that the Brotherhood is, at least for the moment, a more
marginal movement than it otherwise would have been. “They’ve shot themselves
in the foot a bit,” one of these analysts told me. “The rest of Jordan is
moving on.”
King Abdullah is, emotionally and dispositionally, the most
pro-American ruler in the Arab world. He and his wife and children—two sons and
two daughters—enjoy watching Modern Family together; once, as prince, he
made a cameo appearance on Star Trek: Voyager. In my experience, he is
happiest when talking about his years in Massachusetts, at Deerfield Academy,
the elite boarding school where he studied for several years in the 1970s.
Abdullah’s core instincts may or may not be egalitarian, but he did seem to
learn something about democracy and political equality at Deerfield, where
deference to royalty was generally lacking. Though it was known on campus that
he was a prince, he was on the wrestling team, everyone called him “Ab,” and he
bused dining-hall tables like every other student.
One of Abdullah’s proudest achievements is the establishment
of King’s Academy, a Deerfield-style prep school outside Amman. The
school comprises 33 buildings, a nondenominational chapel, vast lawns (it’s the
greenest place in Jordan), and a faculty imported mainly from the West. As he
flew us from Karak to Amman in his helicopter, we passed near the campus. “It’s
a wonderful school,” he said. “Merit-based.”
While Abdullah resists the urge to spend more time than is
seemly in the United States, many summers he and a small group of friends (and
a detachment of bodyguards) take an unpublicized motorcycle trip along some
remote stretch of American highway. Last summer, he and his friends tracked the
trans-Alaska pipeline as it winds its way south from Prudhoe Bay. No one at
highway truck stops recognized him, of course, which made him happy. When David
Petraeus, who was then the director of the CIA, visited him this past fall,
King Abdullah mentioned the Alaska trip in order to have some fun at the
expense of the American national-security apparatus. “I said, ‘I don’t know
who’s the head of Homeland Security, but I have some real concerns for you.
There was a whole bunch of AY-rabs’ ”—he
stressed the first syllable in the stereotypically redneck way—“ ‘running around your pipeline, and no one stopped us. Nobody
asked us any questions at all. Who’s protecting your border?’ ”
Perhaps Abdullah is so taken with the American system that,
if anything, he overstates its virtues. In his proselytizing for political
reform, he holds up the United States as the Platonic ideal. The paralysis and
pettiness of Washington does not seem to have made an impression on him. In
January, I talked with him the day after he met with a group of Jordanian
“youth activists” at the palace. He explained the message he had given them. “I
said, ‘You guys have no concept of left, right, and center. In the American
concept, I’m a leftist, or a Democrat, when it comes to health, education, and
taxes. I’m a Republican when it comes to … defense, okay? That’s me
as Abdullah. How does that fit into the framework of a Jordanian mentality? I
want you guys thinking like that. I don’t want you to agree with me. If you
agree with me, fantastic, that’s fine.’ In our culture, if you don’t agree with
me, you start shooting each other, or at least throwing our shoes at each
other.”
Abdullah’s stated mission—when judged not against an ideal
but against the pitiless realities of his neighborhood—is of course noble.
Cynics argue that he is merely masquerading as a reformer, trying to preserve
the monarchy by providing his people with only the facsimile of change.
Radicals call him conservative; conservatives call him radical. The truth is
that he is both. He is also something else: a Don Quixote. Meritocracy and
democratic pluralism are not ideas that his country is prepared to accept. This
may be because the culture of Jordan is not so plastic as he would like it to
be—but it may also be that the nobility of his intentions is not matched by the
quality of his abilities.
Abdullah seems to genuinely want his people to be richer,
happier, and more politically empowered than they are now. But he also
recognizes that only if Jordanians are content will they readily agree to the
perpetuation of Hashemite rule. On visits to Amman in recent months, I noticed
something new: photographs of his 18-year-old son, Crown Prince Hussein, have
proliferated in the public rooms of the palace, as they have on billboards
throughout the kingdom. As the elder of Abdullah’s two sons, Hussein is meant
to inherit the throne from his father. Over the course of our conversations, it
became obvious to me that King Abdullah has been preoccupied with ensuring a
smooth transition to his son’s rule. Abdullah is only 51, but he is not
unaware, two people close to him told me, that his father died at the age of
63.
Abdullah has dispatched Hussein to Washington, to be certain
that he is thinking about politics in the American manner. After several years
of American-style education at King’s Academy, Prince Hussein is now a freshman
at Georgetown University.
The king told me he regrets having made Hussein crown prince
so early in his life. “When I made him crown prince, I don’t think he was very
happy,” the king said. “He was 15, and I don’t think he was happy with me at
all.” But in naming Hussein crown prince early, Abdullah had hoped to avoid the
confusion and anxiety in the kingdom that marked his father’s last days.
Abdullah himself was made crown prince with very little
notice, just two weeks before his father’s death from cancer. Until then,
Hussein’s hapless brother, Hassan, had been crown prince, and Abdullah had led
a largely anonymous life in the military. “Looking back at my life, I was
Forrest Gump,” he told me. “I was with my father in all the crises, but I
didn’t have the spotlight on me. I was watching and learning without having the
pressures on me.” Knowing the pressure that he imposed on his son by naming him
successor to the throne produced “huge turmoil” in Abdullah. The queen, too,
says she wasn’t particularly happy about Hussein’s elevation. “It’s a struggle for
me,” she told me, “because as a mother, you want your children to have a normal
life to the extent possible, an anonymous life that is free from struggle, and
we know for sure that is not what we are giving him.”
“I didn’t want to do this to a young boy,” the king said.
“He’s matured a lot over the past couple of years. He understands the
responsibility. He won’t have the life I had … As a teenager, as a young
officer, nobody was looking at me. They didn’t care who I was. I had the
ability to develop, and make friends, and see the world without having …
people taking pictures of [me] left, right, and center. The title is going to
follow him around. So I didn’t do him any favors.”
The biggest favor he could do for his son now, he says, is
to de-emphasize the power of the throne. “The monarchy is going to change. When
my son becomes of age and becomes king, the system will be stabilized
and … it will be a Western democracy with a constitutional monarchy.” But,
he says, “even with all the changes I’m doing here, there is still going to be
a monarchy.” Abdullah would like to see his son become a symbol of national
unification, and a source of moral guidance. He also hopes his son “is not
going to have to work his butt off for the rest of his life. I hope he works
hard, but not with the same pressures.”
What Abdullah does not want is for his son to take the
throne in a situation where he’s “in the position of Bashar today.” Rather, he
wants Hussein to become king of a Jordan where “the people are happy, and they
love the monarchy, just like you saw with the outpouring toward Queen Elizabeth
in England.”
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